每日新闻更新 - 瑞典房价 The Daily Update - Swedish house prices

据瑞典的两位银行大亨所言,瑞典房地产已经繁荣了一代人,但随着不断拉高的杠杆最终开始反噬,繁荣开始走向谢幕。在过去10年间,瑞典的住房市场翻了一番,正如瑞典北欧斯安银行首席执行官所警告的,“我们已经看到了红色警示,不能期望家庭债务继续增长,这已经不存在可持续性了。”九月瑞典房价下跌1.5%,这是数年来首次下滑。随着房价的攀升,瑞典的家庭债务也同期不断增加,位列欧洲最高债务水平之列。

然而,最先警告房市过热的不是瑞典银行家。早在2015年,瑞典国家经济研究所就警告称,瑞典正在朝着房市泡沫发展。2014年房价增长了15%。该研究所所长Mats Dillén警告称,“房价一直在涨,每年的增长率在10%-15%之间,不可能一直这样涨下去。”当然,房地产市场的发展也得益于瑞典有史以来最低的利率水平,2015年7月的利率为负值-0.35%,2016年2月的利率再次为负值0.5%。

瑞典SVT News的财经记者Jan Nylander发表了一篇有关住房的文章,反映了整个欧洲的情况。他说,“我认为瑞典年轻一代已经忘记我们在90年代早期经历的危机,他们认为房价会一直上涨,这就是为什么说现在的形势非常危险的原因之一。如果每个人都预期价格不会下跌,那么价格一定会走高,而这就是存在泡沫的最明显的标志”。

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