每日新闻更新 — 整个明星科技股的技术熊市 The Daily Update – TECHnical Bear Market Across FANG Stocks

昨天是检验股市的另一个日子,道指收盘下跌近400点,科技股的进一步亏损着实令人不安。苹果昨日再次下跌4%,脸书再次下跌5.7%;这意味着在过去的一个月里,至少有一些人已经在苹果的股票上损失了20%,与此同时,在过去3个月内所有买入这个科技巨头股票(并且仍持有该股票)的人士都赔了钱。但与脸书相比,苹果似乎更加具有弹性;脸书从7月份的高位一路下跌了40%... ...就在其股价下跌19%之前的那天。但即便如此,脸书最近的疲软也被英伟达所掩盖,英伟达从上个月早些时候的293高点下跌了50%,现在只有145。

在10月份,纽约证券交易所 FANG+ 指数* ,包括脸书(Facebook)、苹果/亚马逊(Apple/Amazon)、英伟达/奈飞(NVIDIA/Netflix)、谷歌(Google)以及阿里巴巴/百度还有特斯拉/推特,下跌了7.2%。然后在本月早些时候 FANG + 指数又有反弹,但在昨天再次下跌4.3%之后,已经跌回到10月份以来的最差水平之下。如果今天晚些时候该指数跟随早些时候亚洲时段的疲软,那么它有可能会将其推至2月和4月所感觉到的低谷之下,并接近消除今年所有涨幅的水平(2018年开始的价格指数为2295,最高时曾达到3063,在今天晚些时候如果不出意外有可能冲击2300的水平)。

事实上,FANG+ 指数中所有最著名的股票现在从技术层面讲都处于熊市之中,指数本身从峰值下跌了22.4%。(英伟达下降了50.6%,脸书下降了39.5%,奈飞下降了35.6%,百度下降了35.6%,推特下降了33.4%,阿里巴巴下降了29.7%,亚马逊下降了25.4%,苹果下降了20.5%,谷歌下降了20.3%。在市场的绝大部分受挫之时,只有特斯拉在10月份上涨27%之后仅从8月份的高点下跌了7%。)

此外,在过去的5个交易日中,比特币在一年多的时间内继续贬值三分之一首次跌至兑美元4400以下,现在还不到2017年12月价值的四分之一,当时最旺的时候达到了19500。我们知道您在想什么,“要是我能在11个月之前投资科技股并同时又将我的投资对冲到比特币之内那该多好”......那一定是一场惊险无比的经历。无容置疑,到目前为止,今年整个市场都非常艰难,包括信贷在内,但在评估这个周期时,不要忽视最近市场对科技股的打击。最引人注目的比较之一是,在过去6个月中,标准普尔500指数中的消费必需品板块的表现优于 FANG+ 指数25%(+14.7%对-10.6%)。

译者注:

* FANG+:这里的 FANG是几个科技公司的英文名称的首写字母的集合。它们分别是Facebook、Apple/Amazon、NVIDIA/Netflix、Google。这里的+号是指除 FANG代表的公司之外的其他公司

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