每日新闻更新 — 三个席位的更换就可以让特朗普下台 The Daily Update – Trump out a three seat swing

我们终于到了中期选举的日子。众议院的435个席位,参议院中有35个席位(约三分之一)可供争夺。目前共和党人在众议院拥有235比193的多数席位,在参议院拥有51比49的席位。

民意调查似乎表明了这一点:当然民意调查仍然记得英国脱欧和上一届的英国大选,民主党人颠覆众议院的概率大约为86%,而参议院由共和党人掌管的概率为83%。

因此,如果民主党赢得众议院对特朗普政府会产生什么后果?筹集经费法案的提出必须从众议院开始,所以他们可以在未来两年内阻止特朗普的任何立法。这也意味着众议院可以重启对俄罗斯在上次总统选举中施加影响的调查,并获得和审查特朗普的纳税申报表。

如果民主党人还赢得了参议院,尽管博彩公司表示这种可能性微乎其微(因为只是三个席位的更换),那么民主党人将决定未来两年的所有立法,尽管总统可以否决任何措施。

如果我们回顾一下特朗普总统最近的几笔交易,如北美自由贸易协定重新谈判,对中国征收关税和退出伊朗核协议,民主党掌管的众议院和/或参议院将在新的北美自由贸易协定中有发言权,也可以以国家安全的名义挑战特朗普在征收关税上的做法,还可以投票恢复对伊朗的援助并选择不对其实施制裁。

最富有戏剧性的事情将是,民主党人掌管的国会可以尝试弹劾特朗普并将他赶出推特。所有这些都可能让美联储主席鲍威尔(Powell)先生眉开眼笑。

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