每日新闻更新-标普就英国主权债券评级发出警告 The Daily Update – S&P UK Sovereign debt warning

评级机构标普警告称,英国退欧乱局可能导致英国长期主权评级再次被下调,英国不应低估欧盟的“自卫”本能,并指出欧盟可能会避免因为同英国达成“仁慈的”退欧后贸易协议而引发其他成员国退欧的连锁反应。早在2016年中期退欧公投结果公布后,标普就已经将英国的AAA级评级下调两档至AA(消极展望)。

标普确认维持对英国主权的评级——AA级(消极展望),并发布了很直接的警告。标普全球首席评级官Moritz Kraemer写道:“英国政府在发起退欧公投时,误读了选民的情绪。希望它不要再误判海峡对岸的欧盟观点。否则,极有可能发生退欧骚乱。事态这样发展下去可能会产生对英国主权评级的下行压力。”

标普也警告称,只剩下极有限的时间来达成未来关系框架共识,政府内部分裂加剧会让讨论更加困难。有观点认为,英国经济已经出现压力迹象,而“没有协议”或者“硬退欧”的可能将增加这些压力。标普评级报告指出,“我们认为即使达成过渡期协议,在最现实的情况下,英国经济将出现发展放缓的趋势,关键服务领域将遭受冲击。”

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