每日新闻更新 — 35年来对欧盟最有力的支持,不过不是到处都是 The Daily Update – Highest Support For The EU in 35 Years... But Not Everywhere

“民调显示出35年以来对欧盟最有力的支持” — 这是今天,也就是离2019年的欧洲大选整整一年的时间,一家欧盟议会的刊物以胜利者的姿态发表的言辞(众所周知这次选举我们英国人不再参加),但愿这番话没有产生误导。由‘欧元晴雨表’(Eurobarometer)做的一项民调对所有28个欧盟成员国的将近两万八千名民众做的民调显示,“有三分之二的欧洲人认为他们的国家因为是欧盟的一个成员国而得到好处”,并“把欧盟成员国的身份看作是一件好事”。太棒了!两年期的意大利的债务的收益率在过去的一个月份里增加了一倍,我想对此没有人需要担心,因为从整体上来说,意大利人对于欧盟来讲一定还是很迷恋的,如果全欧范围内对欧盟的支持正处于自1983年开始采取有关措施以来的最高水平的话... ...

但是关于欧洲观点和指标的概括做到准确的情况并不多见,成员国之间的对比就可以显示出不同的说法。如果80%的参与民调的丹麦人认为他们在欧盟的说话是算数的,而有70%的意大利人不同意这个观点并觉得他们说话不算数的话,难道这就能说明欧盟是团结的吗?假如爱尔兰有81%的人认为“欧盟的会员身份是一件好事”而同意这一观点的意大利的人数还不到一半,难道人们就可以为此感到乐观吗?欧盟议会正是通过这些泛泛而谈的的结果决定公布并庆祝这些给公认为是具有高度聚集特点的结果,然后就不了了之的(后果自负)。但是像意大利这样的国家对于这个系统明显地感到困惑,其他人看上去很满意,其实这种庆祝并不会让意大利人变得更加乐观。(这次民调也声明说有32%的参与者已经知道欧盟明年选举的具体日期... ... 此事引起了某些人对抽样存在着偏见的疑虑。)

无论如何,从一些欧盟成员国中我们继续看到的是,很少的价值和未解决的/无法持续下去的净外债额。如果这些债务在政治力量和愿望比现在都要强的过去都未能得到解决,那么现在看起来要不了多久极有可能发生的情况是,将此事解决的余地和能力恐怕是不复存在了。有趣的是,可能是第一次,上周马里奥·德拉吉(Mario Draghi)和其他人一道明确地承认,“在经济危机期间我们需要一个用于维持经济融合的附加的财经手段,并避免负担过重的金融政策”。但也许,政治家们似乎正在忙于庆祝他们的“有记录以来最有力的支持”而根本无暇顾及他的这些担忧和他对加强措施的呼吁。

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