每日新闻更新 — 关于英国脱欧的更多的耸人听闻的言论?The Daily Update – More Brexit scaremongering ??

国家经济和社会研究所(NIESR)上周对英国政府继续遵循其关于脱欧后官方的经济计划发出了严厉警告。在NIESR对政府的白皮书将对经济产生的影响进行的第一次主要评估中,该机构计算出,如果英国与欧盟的首选关系得以实现,英国的GDP在未来10年将减少2.5%。由于政府优先考虑贸易和服务,同时收回对预算的贡献和移民的控制,NIESR认为英国政府将不得不向欧盟做出“重大让步”。

在新闻发布会中,NIESR表示 -

与之前一样,预测的中心是依据对英国“软”退欧的假设,其中英国将基本实现完全进入欧盟商品和服务市场的目标。如果最终不是这种软脱欧,我们理所当然地认为,如果政府实现一些限制性更强的白皮书的提案,与软脱欧相比,产出损失将达到每人每年500英镑。英国若以“谈判无结果”的方式脱欧,损失将在800英镑左右。这些估计数字还不包括对生产力可能产生的影响,根据某些估计,该影响可能会使损失的规模扩大一倍。

给首相特蕾莎·梅的不幸雪上加霜的是,她的一些部长正在警告英国脱欧谈判有可能以完全失败的结局而告终。英国国际贸易大臣利亚姆·福克斯(Liam Fox)周日预测英国将以混乱的结果脱欧,这归咎于“一个不灵活的欧盟委员会”。福克斯表示,原定英国将在明年三月完成的脱欧有可能以谈判无结果的结局而告终的可能性为60%。之前,外交大臣杰里米·亨特(Jeremy Hunt)上周也警告说,“我们可能面临着稍有不慎就会以谈判无结果而告终的潜在的可能性”,与此同时政府正在加强谈判无结果的准备工作。

福克斯在接受《星期日泰晤士报》的采访时警告称,“欧盟的顽固态度正在迫使我们走向谈判无结果的结局”,还补充说,“我们已经确定了达成协议的基础,但如果欧盟一直以优先考虑欧洲人民的经济福祉为借口纠缠哪些未选项,那么这次脱欧就是一次官僚称霸的脱欧,而不是人民当家做主的脱欧”,并认为,(若是那样)“结局将只有一种”。

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