每日新闻更新 — 联邦公开市场委员会 - The Daily Update - The Federal Open Market Committee

8月份联邦公开市场委员会(FOMC)会议纪要于昨晚公布,导致资产市场的反应并不大。会议纪要首次公布后,美国国债市场小幅反弹,美元走弱,媒体的头条新闻显示,美联储认为新兴市场经济体的贸易和经济减速是整个前景下行的风险。

许多与会者表示,“很快”加息可能是适宜的,并注意到家庭和企业支出的巨大力量。他们普遍预计,美国 GDP的增长将在2018年下半年放缓,但仍将高于潜力。一些成员指出,在“不太遥远的未来”中,最好别再提及“宽松性”(“accommodative”)的字眼。官员们谈到了仍然强劲的劳动力市场,并预计通胀在中期内将稳定在2%的目标左右。

从广义上讲,会议纪要继续指向逐步加息的步伐应该走下去,包括在9月份加息;许多与会者认为,“很快将有必要”采取另一个措施以停止这些宽松行为。参与者对新兴市场经济放缓带来的下行风险的提及在一系列潜在的下行风险清单中仅仅出现过一次,而位于这一清单顶部的倒是贸易摩擦。

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