每日新闻更新 — 欧盟的天空变暗 The Daily Update – Darkening skies over the EU

意大利央行行长伊尼亚齐奥·维斯科(Ignazio Visco)周末警告称,在2018年最后一个季度陷入衰退之后,央行预测该国的经济增长存在下行风险。这次经济衰退是意大利十年来的第三次,与此同时,跟意大利国内和国际预测机构一致的是,该银行对2019年和2020的的GDP增长的最新预测分别为0.6%和1%,开始表现出几分乐观。维斯科承认,“今天意大利经济的前景还不如一年前好”,并表示“存在重大的下行风险”。意大利反建制政府并非这样认为,而是把最近GDP的下滑归咎于意大利左翼的那些前任们。副总理迪玛约(Luigi Di Maio)认为,这些数据“证实了意大利人在2018年打包发送的整个政治阶层的失败”。

所有这一切都发生在欧洲大陆经济天空变暗的背景之下,马里奥·德拉吉(Mario Draghi)将目前这种现状描述为“乌云密布”。无论欧洲央行主席向何处张望,四处都是“乌云密布”。作为欧盟经济支柱的德国,公布了五年来最为缓慢的经济增长,还有12月份遭遇的十多年来零售额的最大跌幅。英国脱欧仍然像老牛拉破车一般缓慢前行,跟两年前相比,似乎并没有接近协议一步,(不料)中国的发展放缓,再加上通货膨胀下降,不知道这场脱欧一开始是不是选对了正确的前进方向。综上所述,欧元区经济增长现在有下行的风险。然而,引用德拉吉的话说,如果情况变得太糟糕,欧洲央行可以再次出手使用政策工具。

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