每日新闻更新 — 河内没有为朝鲜或美国提供免费午餐 The Daily Update – No Free Lunch in Hanoi for North Korea or the US

河内峰会结束了,甚至连计划中的共进午餐和联合声明都没有来得及完成;去年峰会上所有的那些若隐若现的乐观情绪随着特朗普“不得不空手而归”和金正恩希望美国在朝鲜不弃核的情况下放弃所有对它的制裁的一厢情愿而烟消云散。连表面上的不合都不加以掩盖足以证明最近在(各种)谈判中的若隐若现的乐观情绪并不预示着有实际签署协议的可能性。正如特朗普所说,“这段关系非常牢固,当你有一段好的关系时,很多好的事情就会发生”,但这并不完全正确(除非他指的是他们那些听起来十分诱人的鲜虾鸡尾酒、烤牛腩配梨泡菜和巧克力熔岩蛋糕晚宴)。

特朗普坚持认为这次谈判并没有“操之过急”,“我们只想达成正确的协议”。但正确的协议可能是35年前朝鲜签署的、25年前曾威胁要离开的、但2003年在获得建造两个核反应堆的援助后仍然退出的那个《核不扩散条约》了,要么就是十多年前价值4亿美元的核反应堆项目,但由于错过最后期限,核查人员被遣送出境,反应堆援助也未能完成。更令人不安的是,最近独裁者声称有能力制造弹载小型核武器。去年,该国声称,通过他们测试和加速生产的洲际弹道导弹可以“到达世界上任何地方”,这也正是导致额外制裁的原因。

可悲的是,数十年的失败证明,欲对这两件事情的紧迫性予以平衡 — 当权者强化对权力的渴望和考虑陷入困境的人民的实际饥饿和需要 — 简直比登天都难,但代表们昨天在河内的表现缺乏的不仅仅是创意(还有其他能力)。然而,仍然有太多的人真正应该得到并需要一顿免费午餐,我们希望特朗普和国际社会能够找到有价值的理由、善意和省力的方法减轻一些制裁作为过渡,而同时又不赋予独裁者(过多的)权力或让这个核武问题无限期地沿着这条道路扯皮下去。

上周末特朗普在推特上写道:“我真的相信朝鲜有着巨大的潜力,将来有一天会成为一个伟大的经济强国”,但不幸的是,昨天并没成为迈向这一天的跬步。

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