每日新闻更新 — 军事准备已经到位 The Daily Update – Locked and Loaded

今天早些时候,在胡希叛乱分子声称对沙特阿拉伯石油基础设施遭受的多次袭击负责之后,布伦特原油出现了自从1988年期货开始交易以来的盘中最大涨幅。布伦特的交易价格曾一度超过每桶71美元,首次出现接近20%的涨幅。  据称,袭击造成的影响是目前沙特石油产量的58%,天然气产量的18%,乙烷和NGL产量的50%。  一位专家说,这次袭击“有效地摧毁了世界上剩余的石油产能”。

无人机在Abqaiq和Khurais油田附近的袭击使得每日原油产量减少了570万桶,约占全球每日石油产量的5%。沙特阿美公司表示,他们争取到今天结束时恢复大约200万桶的产量,并在10天内逐步恢复全面生产能力。据报道,Aramco有大约35至40天的供应来履行正在执行的合同义务。

美国政府迅速指责伊朗发动了这次袭击事件,国务卿迈克·蓬佩奥(Mike Pompeo)发推特称,沙特的近邻对世界能源供应发起了“前所未有的”攻击。特朗普的反应也是同样坦率,宣布“沙特阿拉伯的石油供应遭到了袭击。我们知道谁是罪魁祸首,我们的军事准备已经到位,就要等待确认的消息,接下来我们在等待(沙特阿拉伯)王国怎样认定这次袭击的原因,以及在什么情况下我们将会出手!”。特朗普昨天还授权从美国战略石油储备中释放石油,他说,如果需要,我们将释放储备石油,以保持全球市场有充足的供应。

在撰写本文时,阿美石油和沙特的主权债券的利差扩大了大约10-20个基点,目前现金价格下跌了0.25至2.5个点。然而,市场报告称,没有出现恐慌性抛售的迹象,双向流动良好,而且交易量仅略高于每年这个时候的常量。布伦特原油目前的交易价格略高于每桶65.50美元,上涨幅度大约为9%。尽管遭遇到这一挫折,沙特阿拉伯仍然处于有利的地位,它拥有5000亿美元的外汇储备,有较低的公共债务和强大的银行表现,这就赢得了充足的融资选择。沙特王国还拥有足够的石油储备 — 大约2亿桶,用以支持出口需求。我们期待明天阿美公司的声明。

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