The Daily Update - Sights Shift From Midterms to Trump's 2020 Vision for Re-election

Although the Republicans just lost the House, giving Trump’s adversaries real power to subpoena him in the near future, the President has remained his ever-congratulatory self. "Tremendous success tonight. Thank you to all!" was his tweet summing up his feelings on the results: clearly focusing more on the still disappointing results for the Democrats who failed to show any strength in Senate elections, especially across the South. This increase in the Republican majority in the Senate (and the not too terrible losses in the House) show that the GOP still have plenty to build upon in the run-up to the 2020 elections. Presidents Obama and Clinton both confidently won re-election after considerably worse midterms than this. Trump may have already done enough to stimulate the economy (and take credit for economic dividends sown before his Presidency) to now focus, not on the next two years, but on the four after that. And in the current US political climate – where rhetoric and charisma can quickly spread ideologies with little sense or substance – it’s difficult to see how anyone could have reliable 2020 vision for who will then be President.

Regarding the ramifications of the split midterm results, Politico commented, “A Democrat-controlled House dims the prospects that the White House will successfully spearhead any major legislative initiatives in the next two years — and increases the chances the White House will focus more on politics than policy.” So be prepared because Trump 2020 “begins today”, and even if there are slender prospects of the Trump administration passing meaningful legislation in the next two years, all this may do is fix Trump’s sights – and the power and backing of the White House influence – on an intense political campaign. Legislative gridlock certainly doesn’t put breaks on the campaign trail.

One of the most interesting races still left in confusion is the Texas 23rd House District where Republican incumbent Will Hurd had been declared the winner and delivered a victory speech only to see his lead eroded and overturned by just 282 votes in the few hours that followed with Democrat Gina Ortiz Jones: then leading with 100,909 to his 100,627 with apparently 100% of votes counted. Then the count suddenly changed after a reported counting error in one of the counties, with the amendment showing Hurd as the victor once again by 689 votes. As it stands, press calls for the winner have been rescinded and TX23 will have to wait on a final decision for the winner, or a recount, or even a runoff. Could the run-up to the 2020 elections have even more ups-and-downs and uncertainties than this?

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