1,237 is the definitive requisite of “bound delegates” at which the head of the Republican Party is decided outright before the convention. Optimists in the Trump camp still think he has a chance at such a decisive victory, but following his recent defeats his 758 along with recent polls suggest this is increasingly unlikely. Opponents, in what can only really be called the anti-Trump camp, are hoarding their optimism for the Republican convention believing the vote will be close enough to legitimately and effectively persuade enough unbound delegates for an inconclusive first ballot. This is important because bound delegates from 31 states then become unbound in the second ballot (as do delegates from a further 7 states should there be a third ballot). This is why Kasich – with less than a fifth of Trump’s delegates and still less than former candidate Rubio – is still running.
Super Tuesday or what may for now be known as Trump Tuesday - following Donald’s triumph yesterday across 7 of the 11 state primaries - was already unenthusiastically anticipated by markets. Florida senator Marco Rubio only managed to woo Minnesota whereas Texas senator Ted Cruz won his populous Texas home state, neighbouring Oklahoma and Alaska. Amongst the Democratic race Hillary Clinton also claimed victory in 7 of the 11 states (substituting Alaska for Colorado). Pundits now forecast around a 90% chance (up from 70%) that Mr Trump will be on the Republican ticket. This is similar to the likelihood that Hillary Clinton will lead the Democratic bid for the Office. Both conventions will take place between the 18th - 21st July. Those who, out of incredulity, have yet to seriously evaluate the viability and potential impact of Trump’s (and Clinton’s) policies are running out of reasons to postpone the unsavoury task.
Marmite, wannabe Presidential candidate, you either love him or hate him, Donald Trump, is in the news again this time his target is Apple. Mr Trump wants to force manufacturing back to the US. “Make America great again”, “We’re going to get things coming. We’re gonna get Apple to start building their damn computers and things in this country instead of in other countries”, he said in a speech at Liberty University in Virginia.